Well, as a first thing that you will need to know to take advantage of the price changes throughout the year is how the Dream Team costs are calculated and changed throughout the year. The key to this is a Magic Number which translates the players average score to a cost which represents that players market value.
My calculations have given me a value of 4139.844053 or there abouts :)
The players initial value is still a little bit of a mystery to me but I can confirm that the future value is pretty close to:
New Price = 0.7387 x Current Price + 0.2623 x Market Price
Where Market Price is average of kast 3 games multipled by the Magic Number.
This can be used to determine what a player's breakeven price is and therefore workout when to trade players. A good example is where Fantasy Freako said that Gibbs needs 150 this week so wait a week he will likely come down.
So there you go - wait for next post with statistical breakdowns about which positions score more, which players are the top 10 most likely to rise in value (lowest break evens) and other stats that I am happy to get requests for in the comments.
Nando
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